Scouting Report
Brock Nelson holds a +9.4% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 50.6% vs Amadio 48.7% (+9.4%)
Offensive zone
Nelson 54.1%
Defensive zone
Nelson 68.6%
Neutral zone
Nelson 56.9%
Result
Brock Nelson favored at 59.9%
59.9%
40.1%
Nelson
Amadio
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Amadio
Edge
Even Strength
50.7% (879)
50.0% (14)
+0.7%
Power Play
58.6% (162)
0.0% (1)
+58.6%
Penalty Kill
43.4% (198)
0.0% (2)
+43.4%
On power play, Nelson has a +58.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Amadio shoots right. Nelson is 51.5% vs right-shot opponents (433).
Nelson shoots left. Amadio is 43.8% vs left-shot opponents (16).
Home / Away
Nelson
Amadio
Home
52.3% (621)
50.0% (6)
Away
48.9% (618)
36.4% (11)
By Period
Nelson
Amadio
P1
48.4%
42.9%
P2
53.5%
33.3%
P3
50.3%
50.0%
Final 5 min
50.8%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
60.0%▲
54.0%
50.6%
Amadio
44.0%▼
50.5%
41.2%