Scouting Report
Michael McLeod holds a +7.9% FO% edge overall. Look for McLeod on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 49.4% vs McLeod 56.6% (-7.9%)
H2H factor
McLeod leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Nelson 91.4%
Defensive zone
McLeod 53.8%
Neutral zone
Nelson 68.0%
Result
Brock Nelson favored at 61.9%
61.9%
38.1%
Nelson
McLeod
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
7
(10 meetings)
3
7
Nelson
McLeod
Last 10: Nelson 3-7 McLeod
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nelson
2
1
Nelson
McLeod
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McLeod
0
6
Nelson
McLeod
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nelson
1
0
Nelson
McLeod
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
McLeod
Edge
Even Strength
49.9% (840)
58.3% (859)
-8.4%
Power Play
52.8% (89)
50.0% (28)
+2.8%
Penalty Kill
28.6% (35)
53.0% (168)
-24.4%
On penalty kill, McLeod has a +24.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McLeod shoots right. Nelson is 47.2% vs right-shot opponents (318).
Nelson shoots left. McLeod is 59.8% vs left-shot opponents (778).
Home / Away
Nelson
McLeod
Home
49.8% (458)
55.3% (526)
Away
49.0% (506)
59.2% (529)
By Period
Nelson
McLeod
P1
50.1%
60.7%
P2
45.4%
55.9%
P3
52.7%
55.2%
OT
33.3%
66.7%
Final 5 min
47.1%
55.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
60.0%▲
54.0%
49.4%
McLeod
56.0%▼
63.5%
57.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 13, 2022 | 3 | 09:49 | Offensive | Michael McLeod |
| Jan 13, 2022 | 3 | 05:20 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Jan 13, 2022 | 2 | 09:22 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Jan 13, 2022 | 2 | 03:08 | Defensive | Michael McLeod |
| Jan 13, 2022 | 1 | 17:07 | Defensive | Michael McLeod |
| Dec 11, 2021 | 1 | 16:30 | Defensive | Michael McLeod |
| Dec 11, 2021 | 1 | 11:01 | Defensive | Michael McLeod |
| Nov 11, 2021 | 2 | 19:49 | Defensive | Michael McLeod |
| Nov 11, 2021 | 2 | 14:43 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Nov 11, 2021 | 1 | 11:23 | Defensive | Michael McLeod |