Brock Nelson vs Michael McLeod

2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

Michael McLeod holds a +19.8% FO% edge overall. Look for McLeod on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Nelson wins 43.3% vs right-shot opponents — McLeod shoots right.

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) Nelson 45.8% vs McLeod 63.0% (-19.8%)
H2H factor McLeod leads 5-5 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone Nelson 73.3%
Defensive zone McLeod 81.7%
Neutral zone McLeod 50.5%
Result Michael McLeod favored at 58.2%
41.8%
58.2%
Nelson McLeod
Head-to-Head Record
5 - 5 (10 meetings)
5
5
Nelson McLeod
Last 10: Nelson 5-5 McLeod

Zone Breakdown

Offensive Zone
Edge: Nelson
2
0
Nelson McLeod
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McLeod
0
4
Nelson McLeod
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nelson
3
1
Nelson McLeod
4 total

Situation Matchup

Situation
Nelson
McLeod
Edge
Even Strength
46.1% (735)
64.8% (509)
-18.7%
Power Play
34.5% (29)
68.4% (19)
-33.9%
Penalty Kill
30.4% (23)
65.3% (124)
-34.9%
On penalty kill, McLeod has a +34.9% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
McLeod shoots right. Nelson is 43.3% vs right-shot opponents (240).
Nelson shoots left. McLeod is 66.7% vs left-shot opponents (496).
Home / Away
Nelson
McLeod
Home
48.7% (419)
64.3% (308)
Away
41.3% (368)
65.7% (344)
By Period
Nelson
McLeod
P1
44.6%
62.9%
P2
47.3%
64.8%
P3
43.0%
67.9%
OT
100.0%
37.5%
Final 5 min
39.4%
66.7%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
60.0%
54.0%
45.2%
McLeod
56.0%
63.5%
65.0%

Recent Faceoffs

Date Period Time Zone Winner
Nov 28, 2023 3 09:43 Defensive Michael McLeod
Nov 28, 2023 3 06:45 Neutral Michael McLeod
Nov 28, 2023 1 04:47 Defensive Michael McLeod
Nov 28, 2023 1 03:03 Defensive Michael McLeod
Oct 20, 2023 OT 00:00 Neutral Brock Nelson
Oct 20, 2023 3 18:22 Defensive Michael McLeod
Oct 20, 2023 3 00:00 Neutral Brock Nelson
Oct 20, 2023 2 04:18 Offensive Brock Nelson
Oct 20, 2023 2 01:25 Offensive Brock Nelson
Oct 20, 2023 1 19:00 Neutral Brock Nelson