Scouting Report
Brock Nelson holds a +5.2% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 49.6% vs Geekie 46.8% (+5.2%)
Offensive zone
Geekie 65.5%
Defensive zone
Nelson 76.0%
Neutral zone
Nelson 54.9%
Result
Brock Nelson favored at 55.1%
55.1%
44.9%
Nelson
Geekie
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Geekie
Edge
Even Strength
50.0% (694)
44.4% (99)
+5.6%
Power Play
56.3% (112)
48.3% (29)
+8.0%
Penalty Kill
42.0% (143)
0.0% (3)
+42.0%
On penalty kill, Nelson has a +42.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Geekie shoots right. Nelson is 51.2% vs right-shot opponents (322).
Nelson shoots left. Geekie is 39.5% vs left-shot opponents (81).
Home / Away
Nelson
Geekie
Home
50.4% (472)
43.7% (71)
Away
48.6% (477)
45.0% (60)
By Period
Nelson
Geekie
P1
47.2%
39.2%
P2
53.4%
50.0%
P3
47.8%
42.9%
OT
50.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
47.6%
36.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
46.0%▬
46.0%
49.5%
Geekie
42.0%▼
44.5%
44.3%