Scouting Report
Brock Nelson holds a +4.5% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 50.6% vs Geekie 47.6% (+4.5%)
Offensive zone
Geekie 64.8%
Defensive zone
Nelson 77.1%
Neutral zone
Nelson 54.2%
Result
Brock Nelson favored at 55.5%
55.5%
44.5%
Nelson
Geekie
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Geekie
Edge
Even Strength
50.7% (879)
47.0% (117)
+3.7%
Power Play
58.6% (162)
47.1% (34)
+11.5%
Penalty Kill
43.4% (198)
0.0% (3)
+43.4%
On penalty kill, Nelson has a +43.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Geekie shoots right. Nelson is 51.5% vs right-shot opponents (433).
Nelson shoots left. Geekie is 42.1% vs left-shot opponents (95).
Home / Away
Nelson
Geekie
Home
52.3% (621)
45.3% (75)
Away
48.9% (618)
46.8% (79)
By Period
Nelson
Geekie
P1
48.4%
43.1%
P2
53.5%
48.1%
P3
50.3%
47.5%
OT
41.2%
50.0%
Final 5 min
50.8%
37.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
60.0%▲
54.0%
50.6%
Geekie
46.0%▼
47.5%
46.1%