Scouting Report
Nick Bonino holds a +5.8% FO% edge overall. Nelson wins 46.1% vs left-shot opponents — Bonino shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 45.8% vs Bonino 50.8% (-5.8%)
Offensive zone
Nelson 74.1%
Defensive zone
Bonino 76.7%
Neutral zone
Bonino 54.0%
Result
Nick Bonino favored at 52.2%
47.8%
52.2%
Nelson
Bonino
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Bonino
Edge
Even Strength
46.1% (735)
51.8% (305)
-5.7%
Penalty Kill
30.4% (23)
48.5% (101)
-18.1%
On penalty kill, Bonino has a +18.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bonino shoots left. Nelson is 46.1% vs left-shot opponents (547).
Nelson shoots left. Bonino is 49.8% vs left-shot opponents (253).
Home / Away
Nelson
Bonino
Home
48.7% (419)
53.1% (177)
Away
41.3% (368)
49.3% (229)
By Period
Nelson
Bonino
P1
44.6%
55.9%
P2
47.3%
49.6%
P3
43.0%
47.6%
OT
100.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
39.4%
42.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
60.0%▲
54.0%
45.2%
Bonino
46.0%▼
47.5%
51.0%