Scouting Report
Brock Nelson holds a +49.4% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 49.4% vs Cates 46.7% (+49.4%)
Offensive zone
Nelson 59.7%
Defensive zone
Nelson 64.4%
Neutral zone
Nelson 55.8%
Result
Brock Nelson favored at 59.9%
59.9%
40.1%
Nelson
Cates
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Cates
Edge
Even Strength
49.9% (840)
0.0% (6)
+49.9%
Penalty Kill
28.6% (35)
0.0% (1)
+28.6%
On even strength, Nelson has a +49.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cates shoots left. Nelson is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (646).
Nelson shoots left. Cates is 0.0% vs left-shot opponents (3).
Home / Away
Nelson
Cates
Home
49.8% (458)
0.0% (5)
Away
49.0% (506)
0.0% (2)
By Period
Nelson
Cates
P1
50.1%
0.0%
P2
45.4%
0.0%
Final 5 min
47.1%
0.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
60.0%▲
54.0%
49.4%
Cates
46.0%▼
50.0%
0.0%