Scouting Report
Brock Nelson holds a +7.3% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 49.4% vs Kurashev 45.7% (+7.3%)
Offensive zone
Kurashev 50.7%
Defensive zone
Nelson 64.2%
Neutral zone
Nelson 50.9%
Result
Brock Nelson favored at 54.8%
54.8%
45.2%
Nelson
Kurashev
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Kurashev
Edge
Even Strength
49.9% (840)
43.4% (113)
+6.5%
Power Play
52.8% (89)
25.0% (8)
+27.8%
On power play, Nelson has a +27.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kurashev shoots left. Nelson is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (646).
Nelson shoots left. Kurashev is 43.6% vs left-shot opponents (78).
Home / Away
Nelson
Kurashev
Home
49.8% (458)
48.3% (58)
Away
49.0% (506)
36.5% (63)
By Period
Nelson
Kurashev
P1
50.1%
30.8%
P2
45.4%
44.2%
P3
52.7%
55.2%
OT
33.3%
0.0%
Final 5 min
47.1%
31.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
60.0%▲
54.0%
49.4%
Kurashev
38.0%▼
43.5%
42.1%