Scouting Report
Brock Nelson holds a +2.6% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 47.5% vs Kurashev 46.6% (+2.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nelson 54.7%
Defensive zone
Kurashev 50.5%
Neutral zone
Kurashev 52.6%
Result
Philipp Kurashev favored at 52.6%
47.4%
52.6%
Nelson
Kurashev
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Nelson
Kurashev
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kurashev
0
1
Nelson
Kurashev
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Kurashev
Edge
Even Strength
46.9% (915)
42.8% (145)
+4.1%
Power Play
57.4% (94)
45.5% (33)
+11.9%
Penalty Kill
25.0% (28)
66.7% (12)
-41.7%
On penalty kill, Kurashev has a +41.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kurashev shoots left. Nelson is 47.4% vs left-shot opponents (713).
Nelson shoots left. Kurashev is 34.1% vs left-shot opponents (88).
Home / Away
Nelson
Kurashev
Home
48.9% (521)
51.2% (82)
Away
45.5% (516)
39.8% (108)
By Period
Nelson
Kurashev
P1
45.9%
51.7%
P2
48.0%
45.7%
P3
48.0%
37.0%
OT
33.3%
33.3%
Final 5 min
45.3%
45.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
46.0%▬
46.0%
47.3%
Kurashev
42.0%▼
45.5%
44.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2022 | 1 | 12:41 | Neutral | Philipp Kurashev |