Scouting Report
Brock Nelson holds a +5.0% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 51.9% vs Kurashev 48.0% (+5.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kurashev 56.2%
Defensive zone
Kurashev 56.3%
Neutral zone
Kurashev 54.9%
Result
Philipp Kurashev favored at 56.2%
43.8%
56.2%
Nelson
Kurashev
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Nelson
Kurashev
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kurashev
0
1
Nelson
Kurashev
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Kurashev
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (1,002)
46.7% (184)
+4.6%
Power Play
58.7% (126)
50.0% (16)
+8.7%
Penalty Kill
51.9% (81)
50.0% (6)
+1.9%
On power play, Nelson has a +8.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kurashev shoots left. Nelson is 51.4% vs left-shot opponents (837).
Nelson shoots left. Kurashev is 46.6% vs left-shot opponents (133).
Home / Away
Nelson
Kurashev
Home
52.5% (590)
44.4% (63)
Away
51.7% (619)
48.3% (143)
By Period
Nelson
Kurashev
P1
50.5%
53.8%
P2
54.4%
38.7%
P3
51.4%
50.0%
OT
47.4%
50.0%
Final 5 min
57.3%
63.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
60.0%▲
54.0%
52.1%
Kurashev
38.0%▼
43.5%
47.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 12, 2024 | 1 | 12:52 | Offensive | Philipp Kurashev |