Brock Nelson vs Pierre-Luc Dubois
2019-20 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Brock Nelson holds a +7.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Nelson on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 51.6% vs Dubois 45.2% (+7.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nelson 71.9%
Defensive zone
Nelson 93.9%
Neutral zone
Nelson 82.8%
Result
Brock Nelson favored at 87.2%
87.2%
12.8%
Nelson
Dubois
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Nelson
Dubois
Last 5: Nelson 4-1 Dubois
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nelson
2
0
Nelson
Dubois
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nelson
2
1
Nelson
Dubois
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Dubois
Edge
Even Strength
50.7% (902)
44.4% (753)
+6.3%
Power Play
59.8% (169)
52.9% (34)
+6.9%
Penalty Kill
48.3% (116)
38.9% (18)
+9.4%
On penalty kill, Nelson has a +9.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dubois shoots left. Nelson is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (733).
Nelson shoots left. Dubois is 45.5% vs left-shot opponents (543).
Home / Away
Nelson
Dubois
Home
53.6% (603)
47.0% (436)
Away
49.9% (585)
41.7% (369)
By Period
Nelson
Dubois
P1
55.4%
46.3%
P2
47.2%
39.3%
P3
52.6%
48.8%
OT
51.6%
38.5%
Final 5 min
54.1%
48.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
60.0%▲
54.0%
51.8%
Dubois
44.0%▼
51.0%
44.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 23, 2019 | 3 | 01:24 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |
| Dec 23, 2019 | 1 | 15:13 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |
| Dec 23, 2019 | 1 | 07:36 | Neutral | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Dec 23, 2019 | 1 | 07:26 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Nov 30, 2019 | 2 | 16:01 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |