Brock Nelson vs Pierre-Luc Dubois
2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Pierre-Luc Dubois holds a +4.5% FO% edge overall. Nelson wins 46.1% vs left-shot opponents — Dubois shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 45.8% vs Dubois 49.7% (-4.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Dubois 50.3%
Defensive zone
Dubois 51.4%
Neutral zone
Nelson 51.9%
Result
Brock Nelson favored at 51.9%
51.9%
48.1%
Nelson
Dubois
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Nelson
Dubois
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dubois
0
1
Nelson
Dubois
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Dubois
Edge
Even Strength
46.1% (735)
49.3% (842)
-3.2%
Power Play
34.5% (29)
57.1% (35)
-22.6%
Penalty Kill
30.4% (23)
55.6% (9)
-25.2%
On penalty kill, Dubois has a +25.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dubois shoots left. Nelson is 46.1% vs left-shot opponents (547).
Nelson shoots left. Dubois is 51.1% vs left-shot opponents (581).
Home / Away
Nelson
Dubois
Home
48.7% (419)
51.0% (445)
Away
41.3% (368)
48.3% (441)
By Period
Nelson
Dubois
P1
44.6%
50.3%
P2
47.3%
49.5%
P3
43.0%
49.0%
OT
100.0%
57.1%
Final 5 min
39.4%
54.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
60.0%▲
54.0%
45.2%
Dubois
44.0%▼
51.0%
49.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 9, 2023 | 2 | 12:18 | Neutral | Pierre-Luc Dubois |