Brock Nelson vs Pierre-Luc Dubois
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Brock Nelson holds a +1.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Nelson on defensive-zone draws (89% H2H, 9 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 48.3% vs Dubois 46.7% (+1.6%)
H2H factor
Nelson leads 21-15 in 36 meetings
Offensive zone
Nelson 55.1%
Defensive zone
Nelson 79.3%
Neutral zone
Nelson 68.5%
Result
Brock Nelson favored at 67.8%
67.8%
32.2%
Nelson
Dubois
Head-to-Head Record
21
-
15
(36 meetings)
21
15
Nelson
Dubois
Last 10: Nelson 2-8 Dubois
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Dubois
3
6
Nelson
Dubois
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nelson
8
1
Nelson
Dubois
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nelson
10
8
Nelson
Dubois
18 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Dubois
Edge
Even Strength
47.9% (9,695)
46.2% (7,002)
+1.7%
Power Play
54.5% (1,132)
51.3% (606)
+3.2%
Penalty Kill
43.8% (783)
48.1% (108)
-4.3%
On penalty kill, Dubois has a +4.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dubois shoots left. Nelson is 48.9% vs left-shot opponents (7,533).
Nelson shoots left. Dubois is 46.3% vs left-shot opponents (5,073).
Home / Away
Nelson
Dubois
Home
50.0% (5,845)
47.9% (3,872)
Away
46.5% (5,766)
45.4% (3,844)
By Period
Nelson
Dubois
P1
48.7%
47.6%
P2
48.5%
45.6%
P3
47.7%
46.8%
OT
45.6%
48.1%
Final 5 min
47.8%
47.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
60.0%▲
54.0%
48.3%
Dubois
44.0%▼
51.0%
46.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2026 | 1 | 14:50 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |
| Mar 22, 2026 | 1 | 11:53 | Neutral | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Nov 29, 2024 | 1 | 19:46 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Dec 9, 2023 | 2 | 12:18 | Neutral | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Feb 26, 2023 | 2 | 14:22 | Neutral | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Feb 26, 2023 | 2 | 05:16 | Offensive | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Feb 26, 2023 | 1 | 10:25 | Defensive | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Feb 22, 2023 | 3 | 18:47 | Offensive | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Feb 22, 2023 | 2 | 04:09 | Neutral | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Mar 11, 2022 | 2 | 15:33 | Offensive | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Mar 11, 2022 | 2 | 03:52 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Mar 11, 2022 | 2 | 03:43 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Mar 11, 2022 | 2 | 01:09 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Nov 6, 2021 | 3 | 02:42 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |
| Nov 6, 2021 | 2 | 18:03 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |
| Nov 6, 2021 | 1 | 13:51 | Offensive | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Nov 6, 2021 | 1 | 03:12 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Dec 23, 2019 | 3 | 01:24 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |
| Dec 23, 2019 | 1 | 15:13 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |
| Dec 23, 2019 | 1 | 07:36 | Neutral | Pierre-Luc Dubois |