Brock Nelson vs Pierre-Luc Dubois
2021-22 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Brock Nelson holds a +2.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Nelson on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 49.4% vs Dubois 47.1% (+2.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nelson 70.9%
Defensive zone
Nelson 73.3%
Neutral zone
Nelson 82.1%
Result
Brock Nelson favored at 75.7%
75.7%
24.3%
Nelson
Dubois
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
2
(8 meetings)
6
2
Nelson
Dubois
Last 8: Nelson 6-2 Dubois
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Dubois
1
2
Nelson
Dubois
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nelson
2
0
Nelson
Dubois
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nelson
3
0
Nelson
Dubois
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Dubois
Edge
Even Strength
49.9% (840)
46.1% (1,050)
+3.8%
Power Play
52.8% (89)
58.0% (81)
-5.2%
Penalty Kill
28.6% (35)
25.0% (4)
+3.6%
On power play, Dubois has a +5.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dubois shoots left. Nelson is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (646).
Nelson shoots left. Dubois is 45.1% vs left-shot opponents (778).
Home / Away
Nelson
Dubois
Home
49.8% (458)
47.0% (581)
Away
49.0% (506)
46.8% (554)
By Period
Nelson
Dubois
P1
50.1%
46.9%
P2
45.4%
50.1%
P3
52.7%
43.9%
OT
33.3%
40.0%
Final 5 min
47.1%
48.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
60.0%▲
54.0%
49.4%
Dubois
44.0%▼
51.0%
46.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 11, 2022 | 2 | 15:33 | Offensive | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Mar 11, 2022 | 2 | 03:52 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Mar 11, 2022 | 2 | 03:43 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Mar 11, 2022 | 2 | 01:09 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Nov 6, 2021 | 3 | 02:42 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |
| Nov 6, 2021 | 2 | 18:03 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |
| Nov 6, 2021 | 1 | 13:51 | Offensive | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Nov 6, 2021 | 1 | 03:12 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |