Brock Nelson vs Pierre-Luc Dubois
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Brock Nelson holds a +1.4% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 50.6% vs Dubois 49.4% (+1.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nelson 51.2%
Defensive zone
Nelson 56.0%
Neutral zone
Nelson 52.7%
Result
Brock Nelson favored at 54.3%
54.3%
45.7%
Nelson
Dubois
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Nelson
Dubois
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nelson
1
0
Nelson
Dubois
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dubois
0
1
Nelson
Dubois
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Dubois
Edge
Even Strength
50.7% (879)
46.2% (225)
+4.5%
Power Play
58.6% (162)
66.7% (27)
-8.1%
Penalty Kill
43.4% (198)
75.0% (8)
-31.6%
On penalty kill, Dubois has a +31.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dubois shoots left. Nelson is 49.9% vs left-shot opponents (803).
Nelson shoots left. Dubois is 47.5% vs left-shot opponents (160).
Home / Away
Nelson
Dubois
Home
52.3% (621)
46.6% (163)
Away
48.9% (618)
53.6% (97)
By Period
Nelson
Dubois
P1
48.4%
45.0%
P2
53.5%
52.3%
P3
50.3%
50.5%
OT
41.2%
0.0%
Final 5 min
50.8%
52.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
60.0%▲
54.0%
50.6%
Dubois
44.0%▼
51.0%
49.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2026 | 1 | 14:50 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |
| Mar 22, 2026 | 1 | 11:53 | Neutral | Pierre-Luc Dubois |