Scouting Report
Brock Nelson holds a +2.0% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 47.5% vs Poehling 46.2% (+2.0%)
Offensive zone
Nelson 78.6%
Defensive zone
Poehling 79.9%
Neutral zone
Poehling 50.8%
Result
Ryan Poehling favored at 50.7%
49.3%
50.7%
Nelson
Poehling
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Poehling
Edge
Even Strength
46.9% (915)
46.5% (269)
+0.4%
Power Play
57.4% (94)
66.7% (3)
-9.3%
Penalty Kill
25.0% (28)
42.4% (139)
-17.4%
On penalty kill, Poehling has a +17.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Poehling shoots left. Nelson is 47.4% vs left-shot opponents (713).
Nelson shoots left. Poehling is 42.9% vs left-shot opponents (266).
Home / Away
Nelson
Poehling
Home
48.9% (521)
45.2% (177)
Away
45.5% (516)
45.3% (234)
By Period
Nelson
Poehling
P1
45.9%
47.7%
P2
48.0%
44.4%
P3
48.0%
44.6%
OT
33.3%
33.3%
Final 5 min
45.3%
42.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
60.0%▲
54.0%
47.3%
Poehling
58.0%▲
48.5%
45.3%