Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (47.7% vs 47.6%).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 47.8% vs Strome 47.9% (+0.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nelson 59.9%
Defensive zone
Nelson 55.9%
Neutral zone
Nelson 60.5%
Result
Brock Nelson favored at 58.8%
58.8%
41.2%
Nelson
Strome
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Nelson
Strome
Last 6: Nelson 4-2 Strome
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Nelson
Strome
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Nelson
Strome
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nelson
2
0
Nelson
Strome
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Strome
Edge
Even Strength
47.4% (1,020)
47.4% (635)
+0.0%
Power Play
51.5% (163)
57.4% (61)
-5.9%
Penalty Kill
42.9% (63)
40.8% (71)
+2.1%
On power play, Strome has a +5.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Strome shoots right. Nelson is 48.5% vs right-shot opponents (425).
Nelson shoots left. Strome is 48.5% vs left-shot opponents (546).
Home / Away
Nelson
Strome
Home
51.0% (641)
50.7% (341)
Away
44.1% (605)
45.1% (426)
By Period
Nelson
Strome
P1
48.2%
47.5%
P2
48.1%
48.4%
P3
46.9%
46.6%
OT
42.9%
57.1%
Final 5 min
44.6%
58.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
60.0%▲
54.0%
47.7%
Strome
42.0%▼
44.0%
47.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 12, 2019 | 3 | 18:56 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Jan 12, 2019 | 3 | 07:28 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Jan 12, 2019 | 3 | 03:22 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Jan 12, 2019 | 2 | 07:03 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Jan 12, 2019 | 1 | 19:32 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |
| Nov 21, 2018 | 1 | 13:29 | Defensive | Ryan Strome |