Scouting Report
Brock Nelson holds a +5.0% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 49.4% vs Strome 45.0% (+5.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Strome 55.6%
Defensive zone
Strome 65.7%
Neutral zone
Strome 53.2%
Result
Ryan Strome favored at 58.9%
41.1%
58.9%
Nelson
Strome
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Nelson
Strome
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Nelson
Strome
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Strome
0
1
Nelson
Strome
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Strome
Edge
Even Strength
49.9% (840)
44.1% (749)
+5.8%
Power Play
52.8% (89)
46.2% (52)
+6.6%
Penalty Kill
28.6% (35)
52.9% (17)
-24.3%
On penalty kill, Strome has a +24.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Strome shoots right. Nelson is 47.2% vs right-shot opponents (318).
Nelson shoots left. Strome is 46.2% vs left-shot opponents (561).
Home / Away
Nelson
Strome
Home
49.8% (458)
45.1% (441)
Away
49.0% (506)
43.5% (377)
By Period
Nelson
Strome
P1
50.1%
42.9%
P2
45.4%
44.4%
P3
52.7%
45.8%
OT
33.3%
50.0%
Final 5 min
47.1%
42.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
60.0%▲
54.0%
49.4%
Strome
42.0%▼
44.0%
44.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 21, 2022 | 3 | 15:07 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Mar 17, 2022 | 1 | 04:30 | Defensive | Ryan Strome |
| Mar 17, 2022 | 1 | 01:36 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |