Scouting Report
Brock Nelson holds a +7.0% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 50.6% vs Strome 45.2% (+7.0%)
Offensive zone
Strome 54.0%
Defensive zone
Nelson 53.9%
Neutral zone
Nelson 51.4%
Result
Brock Nelson favored at 50.4%
50.4%
49.6%
Nelson
Strome
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Strome
Edge
Even Strength
50.7% (879)
44.2% (267)
+6.5%
Power Play
58.6% (162)
37.0% (27)
+21.6%
Penalty Kill
43.4% (198)
50.0% (4)
-6.6%
On power play, Nelson has a +21.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Strome shoots right. Nelson is 51.5% vs right-shot opponents (433).
Nelson shoots left. Strome is 44.3% vs left-shot opponents (203).
Home / Away
Nelson
Strome
Home
52.3% (621)
42.0% (157)
Away
48.9% (618)
45.4% (141)
By Period
Nelson
Strome
P1
48.4%
40.0%
P2
53.5%
46.4%
P3
50.3%
44.0%
OT
41.2%
33.3%
Final 5 min
50.8%
48.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
60.0%▲
54.0%
50.6%
Strome
42.0%▼
44.0%
43.6%