Scouting Report
Sean Monahan holds a +3.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Monahan on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 47.8% vs Monahan 51.0% (-3.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nelson 50.3%
Defensive zone
Nelson 72.6%
Neutral zone
Nelson 57.3%
Result
Brock Nelson favored at 58.5%
58.5%
41.5%
Nelson
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
6
(8 meetings)
2
6
Nelson
Monahan
Last 8: Nelson 2-6 Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
1
2
Nelson
Monahan
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Nelson
Monahan
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Monahan
0
3
Nelson
Monahan
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
47.4% (1,020)
50.8% (723)
-3.4%
Power Play
51.5% (163)
53.3% (152)
-1.8%
Penalty Kill
42.9% (63)
46.2% (13)
-3.3%
On even strength, Monahan has a +3.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Nelson is 47.3% vs left-shot opponents (821).
Nelson shoots left. Monahan is 52.4% vs left-shot opponents (557).
Home / Away
Nelson
Monahan
Home
51.0% (641)
52.5% (421)
Away
44.1% (605)
49.9% (467)
By Period
Nelson
Monahan
P1
48.2%
51.4%
P2
48.1%
52.3%
P3
46.9%
50.2%
OT
42.9%
35.7%
Final 5 min
44.6%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
60.0%▲
54.0%
47.7%
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
51.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 26, 2019 | 3 | 13:19 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Feb 26, 2019 | 2 | 18:39 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Feb 26, 2019 | 2 | 08:00 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Feb 26, 2019 | 1 | 05:58 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Feb 26, 2019 | 1 | 00:27 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Feb 20, 2019 | 3 | 06:39 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Feb 20, 2019 | 1 | 07:21 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |
| Feb 20, 2019 | 1 | 03:17 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |