Scouting Report
Sean Monahan holds a +7.8% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 47.5% vs Monahan 53.9% (-7.8%)
Offensive zone
Nelson 52.7%
Defensive zone
Nelson 51.5%
Neutral zone
Monahan 52.9%
Result
Brock Nelson favored at 50.4%
50.4%
49.6%
Nelson
Monahan
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
46.9% (915)
54.5% (231)
-7.6%
Power Play
57.4% (94)
58.2% (67)
-0.8%
Penalty Kill
25.0% (28)
52.2% (23)
-27.2%
On penalty kill, Monahan has a +27.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Nelson is 47.4% vs left-shot opponents (713).
Nelson shoots left. Monahan is 56.9% vs left-shot opponents (216).
Home / Away
Nelson
Monahan
Home
48.9% (521)
53.5% (144)
Away
45.5% (516)
56.5% (177)
By Period
Nelson
Monahan
P1
45.9%
52.5%
P2
48.0%
50.9%
P3
48.0%
60.8%
OT
33.3%
100.0%
Final 5 min
45.3%
52.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
60.0%▲
54.0%
47.3%
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
55.1%