Scouting Report
Sean Monahan holds a +3.7% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 49.4% vs Monahan 52.8% (-3.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Monahan 59.2%
Defensive zone
Monahan 51.7%
Neutral zone
Nelson 51.6%
Result
Sean Monahan favored at 59.2%
40.8%
59.2%
Nelson
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Nelson
Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nelson
1
0
Nelson
Monahan
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
49.9% (840)
51.5% (641)
-1.6%
Power Play
52.8% (89)
62.8% (129)
-10.0%
Penalty Kill
28.6% (35)
33.3% (9)
-4.7%
On power play, Monahan has a +10.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Nelson is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (646).
Nelson shoots left. Monahan is 53.4% vs left-shot opponents (491).
Home / Away
Nelson
Monahan
Home
49.8% (458)
53.9% (362)
Away
49.0% (506)
52.5% (417)
By Period
Nelson
Monahan
P1
50.1%
48.0%
P2
45.4%
57.0%
P3
52.7%
54.1%
OT
33.3%
100.0%
Final 5 min
47.1%
51.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
60.0%▲
54.0%
49.4%
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
53.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 20, 2021 | 3 | 04:19 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |