Brock Nelson vs Sebastian Aho

2018-19 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

These two are closely matched in overall FO% (47.7% vs 48.6%). Look for Aho on offensive-zone draws (78% H2H, 9 meetings).

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) Nelson 47.8% vs Aho 48.7% (-0.9%)
H2H factor Aho leads 14-7 in 21 meetings
Offensive zone Aho 60.9%
Defensive zone Aho 51.2%
Neutral zone Aho 53.7%
Result Sebastian Aho favored at 56.3%
43.7%
56.3%
Nelson Aho
Head-to-Head Record
7 - 14 (21 meetings)
7
14
Nelson Aho
Last 10: Nelson 5-5 Aho

Zone Breakdown

Offensive Zone
Edge: Aho
2
7
Nelson Aho
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Aho
1
3
Nelson Aho
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
4
4
Nelson Aho
8 total

Situation Matchup

Situation
Nelson
Aho
Edge
Even Strength
47.4% (1,020)
47.4% (953)
+0.0%
Power Play
51.5% (163)
58.0% (174)
-6.5%
Penalty Kill
42.9% (63)
41.6% (77)
+1.3%
On power play, Aho has a +6.5% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
Aho shoots left. Nelson is 47.3% vs left-shot opponents (821).
Nelson shoots left. Aho is 48.7% vs left-shot opponents (751).
Home / Away
Nelson
Aho
Home
51.0% (641)
50.2% (609)
Away
44.1% (605)
46.9% (595)
By Period
Nelson
Aho
P1
48.2%
48.7%
P2
48.1%
50.2%
P3
46.9%
47.0%
OT
42.9%
41.7%
Final 5 min
44.6%
47.7%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
60.0%
54.0%
47.7%
Aho
42.0%
48.0%
48.6%

Recent Faceoffs

Date Period Time Zone Winner
Jan 8, 2019 3 19:34 Defensive Sebastian Aho
Jan 8, 2019 3 19:23 Neutral Sebastian Aho
Jan 8, 2019 3 19:01 Neutral Brock Nelson
Jan 8, 2019 3 15:03 Defensive Sebastian Aho
Jan 8, 2019 3 12:43 Defensive Brock Nelson
Jan 8, 2019 3 09:46 Defensive Sebastian Aho
Jan 8, 2019 3 05:57 Neutral Brock Nelson
Jan 8, 2019 2 15:11 Offensive Brock Nelson
Jan 8, 2019 2 05:24 Neutral Sebastian Aho
Jan 8, 2019 2 05:05 Offensive Brock Nelson
Jan 8, 2019 1 01:29 Neutral Brock Nelson
Nov 24, 2018 2 19:21 Offensive Sebastian Aho
Nov 24, 2018 2 12:18 Neutral Sebastian Aho
Nov 24, 2018 2 08:27 Offensive Sebastian Aho
Nov 24, 2018 2 05:24 Offensive Sebastian Aho
Nov 24, 2018 2 05:11 Offensive Sebastian Aho
Nov 24, 2018 1 03:39 Neutral Sebastian Aho
Oct 28, 2018 3 16:37 Neutral Brock Nelson
Oct 28, 2018 2 18:17 Offensive Sebastian Aho
Oct 4, 2018 3 11:34 Offensive Sebastian Aho