Scouting Report
Brock Nelson holds a +6.8% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 49.4% vs Oshie 45.4% (+6.8%)
Offensive zone
Oshie 70.8%
Defensive zone
Nelson 74.5%
Neutral zone
Nelson 53.5%
Result
Brock Nelson favored at 52.4%
52.4%
47.6%
Nelson
Oshie
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Oshie
Edge
Even Strength
49.9% (840)
57.7% (26)
-7.8%
Power Play
52.8% (89)
41.3% (138)
+11.5%
Penalty Kill
28.6% (35)
0.0% (5)
+28.6%
On penalty kill, Nelson has a +28.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Oshie shoots right. Nelson is 47.2% vs right-shot opponents (318).
Nelson shoots left. Oshie is 42.1% vs left-shot opponents (145).
Home / Away
Nelson
Oshie
Home
49.8% (458)
41.0% (78)
Away
49.0% (506)
44.0% (91)
By Period
Nelson
Oshie
P1
50.1%
42.6%
P2
45.4%
41.9%
P3
52.7%
41.8%
OT
33.3%
60.0%
Final 5 min
47.1%
44.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
60.0%▲
54.0%
49.4%
Oshie
32.0%▼
43.0%
42.6%