Scouting Report
Brock Nelson holds a +17.3% FO% edge overall. Nelson wins 43.3% vs right-shot opponents — Oshie shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 45.8% vs Oshie 43.4% (+17.3%)
Offensive zone
Oshie 51.1%
Defensive zone
Nelson 68.7%
Neutral zone
Oshie 52.3%
Result
Brock Nelson favored at 55.1%
55.1%
44.9%
Nelson
Oshie
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Oshie
Edge
Even Strength
46.1% (735)
30.0% (30)
+16.1%
Power Play
34.5% (29)
23.1% (13)
+11.4%
On even strength, Nelson has a +16.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Oshie shoots right. Nelson is 43.3% vs right-shot opponents (240).
Nelson shoots left. Oshie is 29.4% vs left-shot opponents (34).
Home / Away
Nelson
Oshie
Home
48.7% (419)
22.2% (27)
Away
41.3% (368)
37.5% (16)
By Period
Nelson
Oshie
P1
44.6%
28.6%
P2
47.3%
36.4%
P3
43.0%
18.2%
Final 5 min
39.4%
40.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
60.0%▲
54.0%
45.2%
Oshie
32.0%▼
43.0%
27.9%