Scouting Report
Brock Nelson holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall. Nelson wins 46.9% vs right-shot opponents — Oshie shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 47.5% vs Oshie 47.5% (+1.2%)
Offensive zone
Oshie 68.2%
Defensive zone
Nelson 76.4%
Neutral zone
Nelson 52.2%
Result
Brock Nelson favored at 53.5%
53.5%
46.5%
Nelson
Oshie
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Oshie
Edge
Even Strength
46.9% (915)
48.3% (29)
-1.4%
Power Play
57.4% (94)
46.3% (149)
+11.1%
Penalty Kill
25.0% (28)
0.0% (2)
+25.0%
On penalty kill, Nelson has a +25.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Oshie shoots right. Nelson is 46.9% vs right-shot opponents (324).
Nelson shoots left. Oshie is 46.1% vs left-shot opponents (152).
Home / Away
Nelson
Oshie
Home
48.9% (521)
55.9% (93)
Away
45.5% (516)
35.6% (87)
By Period
Nelson
Oshie
P1
45.9%
50.9%
P2
48.0%
42.9%
P3
48.0%
43.6%
OT
33.3%
60.0%
Final 5 min
45.3%
47.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
60.0%▲
54.0%
47.3%
Oshie
32.0%▼
43.0%
46.1%