Scouting Report
Tyler Johnson holds a +11.4% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 49.4% vs Johnson 53.6% (-11.4%)
Offensive zone
Nelson 52.4%
Defensive zone
Nelson 61.3%
Neutral zone
Nelson 53.8%
Result
Brock Nelson favored at 55.8%
55.8%
44.2%
Nelson
Johnson
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Johnson
Edge
Even Strength
49.9% (840)
61.9% (42)
-12.0%
Power Play
52.8% (89)
55.6% (9)
-2.8%
On even strength, Johnson has a +12.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnson shoots right. Nelson is 47.2% vs right-shot opponents (318).
Nelson shoots left. Johnson is 61.8% vs left-shot opponents (34).
Home / Away
Nelson
Johnson
Home
49.8% (458)
52.0% (25)
Away
49.0% (506)
69.2% (26)
By Period
Nelson
Johnson
P1
50.1%
72.0%
P2
45.4%
66.7%
P3
52.7%
27.3%
Final 5 min
47.1%
53.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
60.0%▲
54.0%
49.4%
Johnson
42.0%▼
48.0%
60.8%