Scouting Report
Vincent Trocheck holds a +5.2% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 49.4% vs Trocheck 54.3% (-5.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nelson 68.5%
Defensive zone
Trocheck 58.7%
Neutral zone
Nelson 67.6%
Result
Vincent Trocheck favored at 58.7%
41.3%
58.7%
Nelson
Trocheck
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Nelson
Trocheck
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Trocheck
0
1
Nelson
Trocheck
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Trocheck
Edge
Even Strength
49.9% (840)
54.3% (955)
-4.4%
Power Play
52.8% (89)
64.6% (96)
-11.8%
Penalty Kill
28.6% (35)
51.0% (194)
-22.4%
On penalty kill, Trocheck has a +22.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Trocheck shoots right. Nelson is 47.2% vs right-shot opponents (318).
Nelson shoots left. Trocheck is 54.8% vs left-shot opponents (904).
Home / Away
Nelson
Trocheck
Home
49.8% (458)
58.3% (604)
Away
49.0% (506)
51.2% (641)
By Period
Nelson
Trocheck
P1
50.1%
53.9%
P2
45.4%
55.7%
P3
52.7%
54.3%
OT
33.3%
54.5%
Final 5 min
47.1%
54.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
60.0%▲
54.0%
49.4%
Trocheck
60.0%▲
57.0%
54.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 14, 2021 | 3 | 17:06 | Defensive | Vincent Trocheck |