Scouting Report
William Karlsson holds a +11.0% FO% edge overall. Nelson wins 46.1% vs left-shot opponents — Karlsson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 45.8% vs Karlsson 55.6% (-11.0%)
Offensive zone
Karlsson 56.0%
Defensive zone
Karlsson 54.4%
Neutral zone
Karlsson 52.4%
Result
William Karlsson favored at 54.3%
45.7%
54.3%
Nelson
Karlsson
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Karlsson
Edge
Even Strength
46.1% (735)
56.3% (739)
-10.2%
Power Play
34.5% (29)
58.6% (181)
-24.1%
Penalty Kill
30.4% (23)
47.2% (53)
-16.8%
On power play, Karlsson has a +24.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Karlsson shoots left. Nelson is 46.1% vs left-shot opponents (547).
Nelson shoots left. Karlsson is 57.4% vs left-shot opponents (627).
Home / Away
Nelson
Karlsson
Home
48.7% (419)
56.5% (462)
Away
41.3% (368)
56.0% (511)
By Period
Nelson
Karlsson
P1
44.6%
57.1%
P2
47.3%
55.2%
P3
43.0%
56.7%
OT
100.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
39.4%
54.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
60.0%▲
54.0%
45.2%
Karlsson
64.0%▲
57.5%
56.2%