Scouting Report
Derek Ryan holds a +5.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Ryan on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jarnkrok 51.1% vs Ryan 55.9% (-5.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Ryan 51.4%
Defensive zone
Jarnkrok 84.4%
Neutral zone
Jarnkrok 68.0%
Result
Calle Jarnkrok favored at 62.9%
62.9%
37.1%
Jarnkrok
Ryan
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Jarnkrok
Ryan
Last 5: Jarnkrok 1-4 Ryan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Ryan
0
3
Jarnkrok
Ryan
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Jarnkrok
Ryan
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jarnkrok
Ryan
Edge
Even Strength
52.8% (398)
56.5% (816)
-3.7%
Power Play
66.7% (12)
55.2% (105)
+11.5%
Penalty Kill
44.0% (109)
63.2% (19)
-19.2%
On penalty kill, Ryan has a +19.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ryan shoots right. Jarnkrok is 48.8% vs right-shot opponents (162).
Jarnkrok shoots right. Ryan is 57.7% vs right-shot opponents (298).
Home / Away
Jarnkrok
Ryan
Home
52.7% (241)
56.7% (466)
Away
50.0% (278)
56.3% (474)
By Period
Jarnkrok
Ryan
P1
49.4%
55.4%
P2
51.7%
58.1%
P3
51.9%
55.8%
OT
75.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
45.5%
55.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jarnkrok
50.0%▲
48.0%
51.3%
Ryan
52.0%▼
60.0%
56.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 21, 2017 | 3 | 02:41 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |
| Dec 21, 2017 | 2 | 09:37 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Dec 21, 2017 | 1 | 17:43 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |
| Dec 21, 2017 | 1 | 17:35 | Defensive | Calle Jarnkrok |
| Nov 26, 2017 | 3 | 05:09 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |