Scouting Report
Derek Ryan holds a +5.3% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jarnkrok 47.4% vs Ryan 50.0% (-5.3%)
Offensive zone
Jarnkrok 68.9%
Defensive zone
Ryan 77.2%
Neutral zone
Jarnkrok 50.6%
Result
Derek Ryan favored at 52.6%
47.4%
52.6%
Jarnkrok
Ryan
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jarnkrok
Ryan
Edge
Even Strength
41.1% (56)
50.9% (344)
-9.8%
Power Play
50.0% (12)
75.0% (4)
-25.0%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (26)
45.3% (86)
+4.7%
On power play, Ryan has a +25.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ryan shoots right. Jarnkrok is 71.4% vs right-shot opponents (14).
Jarnkrok shoots right. Ryan is 54.1% vs right-shot opponents (98).
Home / Away
Jarnkrok
Ryan
Home
55.3% (47)
53.7% (214)
Away
34.0% (47)
46.4% (220)
By Period
Jarnkrok
Ryan
P1
33.3%
45.0%
P2
50.0%
50.0%
P3
48.5%
54.6%
Final 5 min
40.0%
45.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jarnkrok
50.0%▲
48.0%
44.7%
Ryan
52.0%▼
60.0%
50.0%