Scouting Report
Derek Ryan holds a +6.5% FO% edge overall. Jarnkrok wins 58.1% vs right-shot opponents — Ryan shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jarnkrok 49.6% vs Ryan 54.6% (-6.5%)
Offensive zone
Jarnkrok 73.4%
Defensive zone
Ryan 82.2%
Neutral zone
Ryan 51.8%
Result
Derek Ryan favored at 53.5%
46.5%
53.5%
Jarnkrok
Ryan
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jarnkrok
Ryan
Edge
Even Strength
53.7% (82)
60.8% (263)
-7.1%
Power Play
10.0% (10)
100.0% (1)
-90.0%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (40)
46.2% (145)
+3.8%
On power play, Ryan has a +90.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ryan shoots right. Jarnkrok is 58.1% vs right-shot opponents (31).
Jarnkrok shoots right. Ryan is 63.2% vs right-shot opponents (68).
Home / Away
Jarnkrok
Ryan
Home
50.7% (71)
56.7% (201)
Away
47.5% (61)
54.8% (208)
By Period
Jarnkrok
Ryan
P1
52.1%
56.7%
P2
40.5%
56.8%
P3
56.1%
53.7%
Final 5 min
56.7%
56.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jarnkrok
50.0%▲
48.0%
49.2%
Ryan
52.0%▼
60.0%
55.7%