Scouting Report
Derek Ryan holds a +4.7% FO% edge overall. Jarnkrok wins 43.7% vs right-shot opponents — Ryan shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jarnkrok 51.0% vs Ryan 54.9% (-4.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Jarnkrok 69.7%
Defensive zone
Ryan 75.0%
Neutral zone
Ryan 54.6%
Result
Derek Ryan favored at 58.7%
41.3%
58.7%
Jarnkrok
Ryan
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
Jarnkrok
Ryan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Jarnkrok
1
0
Jarnkrok
Ryan
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Jarnkrok
Ryan
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Ryan
0
1
Jarnkrok
Ryan
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jarnkrok
Ryan
Edge
Even Strength
51.8% (326)
60.2% (387)
-8.4%
Power Play
54.4% (79)
28.6% (7)
+25.8%
Penalty Kill
43.5% (62)
43.2% (118)
+0.3%
On power play, Jarnkrok has a +25.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ryan shoots right. Jarnkrok is 43.7% vs right-shot opponents (142).
Jarnkrok shoots right. Ryan is 55.6% vs right-shot opponents (142).
Home / Away
Jarnkrok
Ryan
Home
53.0% (281)
56.7% (254)
Away
48.4% (186)
55.0% (258)
By Period
Jarnkrok
Ryan
P1
51.6%
56.9%
P2
50.6%
51.7%
P3
51.5%
59.2%
OT
50.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
52.1%
53.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jarnkrok
50.0%▲
48.0%
51.2%
Ryan
52.0%▼
60.0%
55.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2021 | 2 | 06:06 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Nov 1, 2021 | 2 | 02:21 | Offensive | Calle Jarnkrok |
| Nov 1, 2021 | 1 | 12:27 | Defensive | Calle Jarnkrok |
| Nov 1, 2021 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |