Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +1.1% FO% edge overall. Jarnkrok wins 54.5% vs left-shot opponents — Larkin shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jarnkrok 51.0% vs Larkin 52.1% (-1.1%)
Offensive zone
Larkin 54.7%
Defensive zone
Jarnkrok 51.8%
Neutral zone
Jarnkrok 50.7%
Result
Dylan Larkin favored at 50.7%
49.3%
50.7%
Jarnkrok
Larkin
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jarnkrok
Larkin
Edge
Even Strength
51.8% (326)
51.8% (903)
+0.0%
Power Play
54.4% (79)
56.0% (225)
-1.6%
Penalty Kill
43.5% (62)
47.4% (76)
-3.9%
On penalty kill, Larkin has a +3.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Larkin shoots left. Jarnkrok is 54.5% vs left-shot opponents (325).
Jarnkrok shoots right. Larkin is 52.0% vs right-shot opponents (483).
Home / Away
Jarnkrok
Larkin
Home
53.0% (281)
55.6% (662)
Away
48.4% (186)
48.3% (542)
By Period
Jarnkrok
Larkin
P1
51.6%
49.9%
P2
50.6%
52.7%
P3
51.5%
53.0%
OT
50.0%
68.0%
Final 5 min
52.1%
49.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jarnkrok
52.0%▲
48.5%
51.2%
Larkin
50.0%▬
50.0%
52.3%