Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +9.7% FO% edge overall. Jarnkrok wins 40.0% vs left-shot opponents — Larkin shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jarnkrok 47.4% vs Larkin 54.1% (-9.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Larkin 56.0%
Defensive zone
Larkin 62.7%
Neutral zone
Jarnkrok 51.2%
Result
Dylan Larkin favored at 59.4%
40.6%
59.4%
Jarnkrok
Larkin
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
Jarnkrok
Larkin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Jarnkrok
Larkin
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Jarnkrok
Larkin
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jarnkrok
Larkin
Edge
Even Strength
41.1% (56)
53.6% (886)
-12.5%
Power Play
50.0% (12)
59.3% (317)
-9.3%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (26)
48.7% (152)
+1.3%
On even strength, Larkin has a +12.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Larkin shoots left. Jarnkrok is 40.0% vs left-shot opponents (80).
Jarnkrok shoots right. Larkin is 50.7% vs right-shot opponents (471).
Home / Away
Jarnkrok
Larkin
Home
55.3% (47)
56.6% (700)
Away
34.0% (47)
52.1% (655)
By Period
Jarnkrok
Larkin
P1
33.3%
55.4%
P2
50.0%
54.7%
P3
48.5%
52.7%
Final 5 min
40.0%
57.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jarnkrok
52.0%▲
48.5%
44.7%
Larkin
50.0%▬
50.0%
54.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 2, 2023 | 2 | 06:21 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Apr 2, 2023 | 1 | 14:06 | Offensive | Calle Jarnkrok |
| Jan 7, 2023 | 3 | 03:21 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 28, 2022 | 3 | 04:54 | Defensive | Calle Jarnkrok |