Scouting Report
Calle Jarnkrok holds a +5.0% FO% edge overall. Jarnkrok wins 60.7% vs left-shot opponents — Larkin shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jarnkrok 51.9% vs Larkin 52.4% (+5.0%)
Offensive zone
Larkin 57.4%
Defensive zone
Larkin 55.3%
Neutral zone
Larkin 50.6%
Result
Dylan Larkin favored at 54.4%
45.6%
54.4%
Jarnkrok
Larkin
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jarnkrok
Larkin
Edge
Even Strength
56.3% (16)
51.7% (878)
+4.6%
Penalty Kill
58.8% (17)
48.2% (166)
+10.6%
On penalty kill, Jarnkrok has a +10.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Larkin shoots left. Jarnkrok is 60.7% vs left-shot opponents (28).
Jarnkrok shoots right. Larkin is 51.2% vs right-shot opponents (451).
Home / Away
Jarnkrok
Larkin
Home
66.7% (18)
52.4% (647)
Away
46.7% (15)
52.7% (643)
By Period
Jarnkrok
Larkin
P1
50.0%
52.2%
P2
72.7%
53.1%
P3
50.0%
51.7%
Final 5 min
50.0%
55.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jarnkrok
50.0%▲
48.0%
57.6%
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
52.6%