Scouting Report
Nico Sturm holds a +11.1% FO% edge overall. Jarnkrok wins 40.0% vs left-shot opponents — Sturm shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jarnkrok 47.4% vs Sturm 55.2% (-11.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Jarnkrok 69.3%
Defensive zone
Sturm 73.4%
Neutral zone
Jarnkrok 52.9%
Result
Calle Jarnkrok favored at 69.3%
69.3%
30.7%
Jarnkrok
Sturm
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Jarnkrok
Sturm
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Sturm
0
1
Jarnkrok
Sturm
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jarnkrok
Sturm
Edge
Even Strength
41.1% (56)
56.1% (716)
-15.0%
Power Play
50.0% (12)
67.7% (31)
-17.7%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (26)
51.1% (133)
-1.1%
On power play, Sturm has a +17.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sturm shoots left. Jarnkrok is 40.0% vs left-shot opponents (80).
Jarnkrok shoots right. Sturm is 55.2% vs right-shot opponents (288).
Home / Away
Jarnkrok
Sturm
Home
55.3% (47)
55.6% (412)
Away
34.0% (47)
56.0% (468)
By Period
Jarnkrok
Sturm
P1
33.3%
59.6%
P2
50.0%
52.0%
P3
48.5%
55.5%
Final 5 min
40.0%
56.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jarnkrok
50.0%▲
48.0%
44.7%
Sturm
52.0%▼
57.5%
55.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 27, 2022 | 1 | 04:01 | Offensive | Nico Sturm |