Scouting Report
Nico Sturm holds a +10.9% FO% edge overall. Jarnkrok wins 46.5% vs left-shot opponents — Sturm shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jarnkrok 49.6% vs Sturm 59.0% (-10.9%)
Offensive zone
Jarnkrok 54.6%
Defensive zone
Sturm 81.6%
Neutral zone
Sturm 51.1%
Result
Nico Sturm favored at 59.4%
40.6%
59.4%
Jarnkrok
Sturm
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jarnkrok
Sturm
Edge
Even Strength
53.7% (82)
60.6% (708)
-6.9%
Power Play
10.0% (10)
61.1% (18)
-51.1%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (40)
56.4% (101)
-6.4%
On power play, Sturm has a +51.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sturm shoots left. Jarnkrok is 46.5% vs left-shot opponents (101).
Jarnkrok shoots right. Sturm is 67.8% vs right-shot opponents (264).
Home / Away
Jarnkrok
Sturm
Home
50.7% (71)
61.6% (451)
Away
47.5% (61)
58.2% (376)
By Period
Jarnkrok
Sturm
P1
52.1%
55.9%
P2
40.5%
58.9%
P3
56.1%
64.6%
OT
0.0%
70.6%
Final 5 min
56.7%
59.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jarnkrok
50.0%▲
48.0%
49.2%
Sturm
52.0%▼
57.5%
60.1%