Scouting Report
Calle Jarnkrok holds a +3.0% FO% edge overall. Jarnkrok wins 60.7% vs left-shot opponents — Sturm shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jarnkrok 51.9% vs Sturm 53.6% (+3.0%)
Offensive zone
Jarnkrok 60.4%
Defensive zone
Sturm 74.0%
Neutral zone
Sturm 51.5%
Result
Nico Sturm favored at 55.0%
45.0%
55.0%
Jarnkrok
Sturm
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jarnkrok
Sturm
Edge
Even Strength
56.3% (16)
54.6% (271)
+1.7%
Penalty Kill
58.8% (17)
54.4% (90)
+4.4%
On penalty kill, Jarnkrok has a +4.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sturm shoots left. Jarnkrok is 60.7% vs left-shot opponents (28).
Jarnkrok shoots right. Sturm is 54.2% vs right-shot opponents (118).
Home / Away
Jarnkrok
Sturm
Home
66.7% (18)
53.0% (168)
Away
46.7% (15)
56.0% (193)
By Period
Jarnkrok
Sturm
P1
50.0%
58.2%
P2
72.7%
53.2%
P3
50.0%
52.3%
Final 5 min
50.0%
55.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jarnkrok
50.0%▲
48.0%
57.6%
Sturm
52.0%▼
57.5%
54.6%