Scouting Report
Sean Monahan holds a +1.9% FO% edge overall. Jarnkrok wins 54.5% vs left-shot opponents — Monahan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jarnkrok 51.0% vs Monahan 52.8% (-1.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Monahan 57.7%
Defensive zone
Jarnkrok 57.5%
Neutral zone
Jarnkrok 51.0%
Result
Calle Jarnkrok favored at 52.0%
52.0%
48.0%
Jarnkrok
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
Jarnkrok
Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
0
1
Jarnkrok
Monahan
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Jarnkrok
2
0
Jarnkrok
Monahan
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Monahan
0
1
Jarnkrok
Monahan
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jarnkrok
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
51.8% (326)
51.5% (641)
+0.3%
Power Play
54.4% (79)
62.8% (129)
-8.4%
Penalty Kill
43.5% (62)
33.3% (9)
+10.2%
On penalty kill, Jarnkrok has a +10.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Jarnkrok is 54.5% vs left-shot opponents (325).
Jarnkrok shoots right. Monahan is 52.8% vs right-shot opponents (288).
Home / Away
Jarnkrok
Monahan
Home
53.0% (281)
53.9% (362)
Away
48.4% (186)
52.5% (417)
By Period
Jarnkrok
Monahan
P1
51.6%
48.0%
P2
50.6%
57.0%
P3
51.5%
54.1%
OT
50.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
52.1%
51.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jarnkrok
50.0%▲
48.0%
51.2%
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
53.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 19, 2022 | 1 | 11:47 | Defensive | Calle Jarnkrok |
| Dec 30, 2021 | 3 | 02:05 | Defensive | Calle Jarnkrok |
| Dec 30, 2021 | 2 | 16:48 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 30, 2021 | 2 | 14:56 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |