Scouting Report
Sean Monahan holds a +10.4% FO% edge overall. Jarnkrok wins 40.0% vs left-shot opponents — Monahan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jarnkrok 47.4% vs Monahan 53.9% (-10.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Jarnkrok 51.6%
Defensive zone
Jarnkrok 56.0%
Neutral zone
Jarnkrok 53.5%
Result
Calle Jarnkrok favored at 53.5%
53.5%
46.5%
Jarnkrok
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Jarnkrok
Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Monahan
0
1
Jarnkrok
Monahan
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jarnkrok
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
41.1% (56)
54.5% (231)
-13.4%
Power Play
50.0% (12)
58.2% (67)
-8.2%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (26)
52.2% (23)
-2.2%
On even strength, Monahan has a +13.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Jarnkrok is 40.0% vs left-shot opponents (80).
Jarnkrok shoots right. Monahan is 51.4% vs right-shot opponents (105).
Home / Away
Jarnkrok
Monahan
Home
55.3% (47)
53.5% (144)
Away
34.0% (47)
56.5% (177)
By Period
Jarnkrok
Monahan
P1
33.3%
52.5%
P2
50.0%
50.9%
P3
48.5%
60.8%
Final 5 min
40.0%
52.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jarnkrok
50.0%▲
48.0%
44.7%
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
55.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 12, 2022 | 2 | 17:10 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |