Scouting Report
Sean Monahan holds a +5.7% FO% edge overall. Jarnkrok wins 46.5% vs left-shot opponents — Monahan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jarnkrok 49.6% vs Monahan 54.5% (-5.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Monahan 79.6%
Defensive zone
Monahan 81.9%
Neutral zone
Monahan 72.4%
Result
Sean Monahan favored at 81.9%
18.1%
81.9%
Jarnkrok
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Jarnkrok
Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Jarnkrok
2
0
Jarnkrok
Monahan
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jarnkrok
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
53.7% (82)
57.1% (871)
-3.4%
Power Play
10.0% (10)
53.1% (262)
-43.1%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (40)
44.6% (139)
+5.4%
On power play, Monahan has a +43.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Jarnkrok is 46.5% vs left-shot opponents (101).
Jarnkrok shoots right. Monahan is 53.4% vs right-shot opponents (519).
Home / Away
Jarnkrok
Monahan
Home
50.7% (71)
55.3% (644)
Away
47.5% (61)
54.5% (628)
By Period
Jarnkrok
Monahan
P1
52.1%
53.9%
P2
40.5%
55.3%
P3
56.1%
54.4%
OT
0.0%
76.5%
Final 5 min
56.7%
55.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jarnkrok
50.0%▲
48.0%
49.2%
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
54.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2023 | 3 | 04:13 | Defensive | Calle Jarnkrok |
| Oct 11, 2023 | 2 | 05:18 | Defensive | Calle Jarnkrok |