Scouting Report
Sean Monahan holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Jarnkrok on defensive-zone draws (65% H2H, 23 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jarnkrok 48.1% vs Monahan 51.2% (-3.2%)
H2H factor
Monahan leads 31-30 in 61 meetings
Offensive zone
Monahan 59.0%
Defensive zone
Jarnkrok 69.4%
Neutral zone
Jarnkrok 57.5%
Result
Calle Jarnkrok favored at 57.1%
57.1%
42.9%
Jarnkrok
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
30
-
31
(61 meetings)
30
31
Jarnkrok
Monahan
Last 10: Jarnkrok 6-4 Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
6
12
Jarnkrok
Monahan
18 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Jarnkrok
15
8
Jarnkrok
Monahan
23 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Monahan
9
11
Jarnkrok
Monahan
20 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jarnkrok
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
49.3% (3,352)
51.1% (11,197)
-1.8%
Power Play
51.9% (258)
53.6% (2,558)
-1.7%
Penalty Kill
40.2% (625)
46.0% (733)
-5.8%
On penalty kill, Monahan has a +5.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Jarnkrok is 49.3% vs left-shot opponents (2,965).
Jarnkrok shoots right. Monahan is 50.4% vs right-shot opponents (5,301).
Home / Away
Jarnkrok
Monahan
Home
50.6% (2,253)
52.3% (7,234)
Away
45.3% (1,982)
50.2% (7,254)
By Period
Jarnkrok
Monahan
P1
47.8%
51.0%
P2
48.0%
51.6%
P3
48.8%
51.1%
OT
40.5%
53.7%
Final 5 min
48.8%
50.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jarnkrok
52.0%▲
48.5%
48.1%
Monahan
58.0%▲
53.0%
51.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2023 | 3 | 04:13 | Defensive | Calle Jarnkrok |
| Oct 11, 2023 | 2 | 05:18 | Defensive | Calle Jarnkrok |
| Oct 12, 2022 | 2 | 17:10 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Feb 19, 2022 | 1 | 11:47 | Defensive | Calle Jarnkrok |
| Dec 30, 2021 | 3 | 02:05 | Defensive | Calle Jarnkrok |
| Dec 30, 2021 | 2 | 16:48 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 30, 2021 | 2 | 14:56 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Oct 31, 2019 | 1 | 00:15 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 8, 2018 | 3 | 03:30 | Defensive | Calle Jarnkrok |
| Oct 9, 2018 | 2 | 11:21 | Offensive | Calle Jarnkrok |
| Feb 15, 2018 | 2 | 15:56 | Defensive | Calle Jarnkrok |
| Dec 16, 2017 | 2 | 13:11 | Defensive | Calle Jarnkrok |
| Dec 16, 2017 | 2 | 10:31 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 16, 2017 | 2 | 07:49 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 16, 2017 | 2 | 07:34 | Offensive | Calle Jarnkrok |
| Dec 16, 2017 | 1 | 11:21 | Defensive | Calle Jarnkrok |
| Dec 16, 2017 | 1 | 11:16 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Oct 24, 2017 | OT | 03:25 | Defensive | Calle Jarnkrok |
| Oct 24, 2017 | OT | 01:03 | Neutral | Calle Jarnkrok |
| Oct 24, 2017 | 2 | 10:57 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |