Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +8.3% FO% edge overall. Jarnkrok wins 46.5% vs left-shot opponents — Hertl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jarnkrok 49.6% vs Hertl 56.8% (-8.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hertl 58.0%
Defensive zone
Hertl 66.0%
Neutral zone
Hertl 52.2%
Result
Tomas Hertl favored at 58.0%
42.0%
58.0%
Jarnkrok
Hertl
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Jarnkrok
Hertl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Jarnkrok
Hertl
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jarnkrok
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
53.7% (82)
57.0% (718)
-3.3%
Power Play
10.0% (10)
64.9% (188)
-54.9%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (40)
44.2% (77)
+5.8%
On power play, Hertl has a +54.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Jarnkrok is 46.5% vs left-shot opponents (101).
Jarnkrok shoots right. Hertl is 62.5% vs right-shot opponents (352).
Home / Away
Jarnkrok
Hertl
Home
50.7% (71)
59.2% (463)
Away
47.5% (61)
56.0% (520)
By Period
Jarnkrok
Hertl
P1
52.1%
56.3%
P2
40.5%
55.4%
P3
56.1%
60.5%
OT
0.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
56.7%
56.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jarnkrok
50.0%▲
48.0%
49.2%
Hertl
56.0%▼
60.0%
57.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 9, 2024 | 2 | 13:28 | Offensive | Calle Jarnkrok |
| Jan 9, 2024 | 2 | 05:53 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |