Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (57.6% vs 57.8%). Jarnkrok wins 60.7% vs left-shot opponents — Hertl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jarnkrok 51.9% vs Hertl 57.2% (-0.2%)
Offensive zone
Hertl 81.8%
Defensive zone
Jarnkrok 64.3%
Neutral zone
Hertl 55.1%
Result
Tomas Hertl favored at 57.5%
42.5%
57.5%
Jarnkrok
Hertl
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jarnkrok
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
56.3% (16)
58.1% (823)
-1.8%
Penalty Kill
58.8% (17)
62.9% (35)
-4.1%
On penalty kill, Hertl has a +4.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Jarnkrok is 60.7% vs left-shot opponents (28).
Jarnkrok shoots right. Hertl is 59.6% vs right-shot opponents (433).
Home / Away
Jarnkrok
Hertl
Home
66.7% (18)
59.7% (561)
Away
46.7% (15)
55.9% (562)
By Period
Jarnkrok
Hertl
P1
50.0%
51.6%
P2
72.7%
63.8%
P3
50.0%
58.6%
Final 5 min
50.0%
58.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jarnkrok
50.0%▲
48.0%
57.6%
Hertl
56.0%▼
60.0%
57.8%