Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +5.6% FO% edge overall. Verhaeghe wins 41.7% vs left-shot opponents — Larkin shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Verhaeghe 49.6% vs Larkin 54.1% (-5.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Verhaeghe 56.4%
Defensive zone
Larkin 66.7%
Neutral zone
Larkin 55.4%
Result
Carter Verhaeghe favored at 56.4%
56.4%
43.6%
Verhaeghe
Larkin
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Verhaeghe
Larkin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Verhaeghe
Larkin
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Verhaeghe
Larkin
Edge
Even Strength
48.8% (41)
53.6% (886)
-4.8%
On even strength, Larkin has a +4.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Larkin shoots left. Verhaeghe is 41.7% vs left-shot opponents (24).
Verhaeghe shoots left. Larkin is 56.3% vs left-shot opponents (884).
Home / Away
Verhaeghe
Larkin
Home
50.0% (26)
56.6% (700)
Away
46.7% (15)
52.1% (655)
By Period
Verhaeghe
Larkin
P1
47.1%
55.4%
P2
46.7%
54.7%
P3
55.6%
52.7%
Final 5 min
20.0%
57.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Verhaeghe
34.0%▼
40.0%
48.8%
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
54.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 20, 2023 | 1 | 03:55 | Offensive | Carter Verhaeghe |
| Jan 6, 2023 | 3 | 00:20 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |