Carter Verhaeghe vs Dylan Larkin
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +8.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Larkin on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Verhaeghe wins 40.7% vs left-shot opponents — Larkin shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Verhaeghe 45.5% vs Larkin 52.7% (-8.4%)
H2H factor
Larkin leads 6-5 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Verhaeghe 75.0%
Defensive zone
Larkin 69.4%
Neutral zone
Verhaeghe 54.3%
Result
Carter Verhaeghe favored at 59.1%
59.1%
40.9%
Verhaeghe
Larkin
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
6
(11 meetings)
5
6
Verhaeghe
Larkin
Last 10: Verhaeghe 4-6 Larkin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Verhaeghe
4
2
Verhaeghe
Larkin
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
0
3
Verhaeghe
Larkin
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Verhaeghe
Larkin
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Verhaeghe
Larkin
Edge
Even Strength
43.3% (293)
51.7% (9,019)
-8.4%
Power Play
47.6% (63)
58.5% (2,125)
-10.9%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
50.2% (1,122)
+49.8%
On penalty kill, Verhaeghe has a +49.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Larkin shoots left. Verhaeghe is 40.7% vs left-shot opponents (226).
Verhaeghe shoots left. Larkin is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (7,850).
Home / Away
Verhaeghe
Larkin
Home
45.7% (162)
54.0% (6,238)
Away
43.1% (195)
51.3% (6,028)
By Period
Verhaeghe
Larkin
P1
45.1%
52.7%
P2
45.6%
53.1%
P3
42.3%
52.1%
OT
25.0%
58.4%
Final 5 min
49.2%
53.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Verhaeghe
34.0%▼
40.0%
44.3%
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
52.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 6, 2025 | 2 | 01:38 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Apr 6, 2025 | 1 | 09:07 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Apr 6, 2025 | 1 | 08:40 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 2, 2024 | 2 | 14:30 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 17, 2024 | 2 | 15:26 | Offensive | Carter Verhaeghe |
| Jan 17, 2024 | 2 | 12:48 | Offensive | Carter Verhaeghe |
| Jan 17, 2024 | 2 | 03:10 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 2, 2023 | 1 | 09:06 | Offensive | Carter Verhaeghe |
| Mar 20, 2023 | 1 | 03:55 | Offensive | Carter Verhaeghe |
| Jan 6, 2023 | 3 | 00:20 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Apr 1, 2021 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Carter Verhaeghe |