Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +18.1% FO% edge overall. Verhaeghe wins 15.0% vs left-shot opponents — Larkin shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Verhaeghe 45.8% vs Larkin 54.2% (-18.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Verhaeghe 77.8%
Defensive zone
Verhaeghe 65.1%
Neutral zone
Verhaeghe 72.3%
Result
Carter Verhaeghe favored at 71.7%
71.7%
28.3%
Verhaeghe
Larkin
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
3
(3 meetings)
0
3
Verhaeghe
Larkin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
0
1
Verhaeghe
Larkin
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
0
1
Verhaeghe
Larkin
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Larkin
0
1
Verhaeghe
Larkin
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Verhaeghe
Larkin
Edge
Even Strength
29.4% (34)
52.6% (1,117)
-23.2%
Power Play
60.0% (10)
60.7% (305)
-0.7%
On even strength, Larkin has a +23.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Larkin shoots left. Verhaeghe is 15.0% vs left-shot opponents (20).
Verhaeghe shoots left. Larkin is 56.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,032).
Home / Away
Verhaeghe
Larkin
Home
40.0% (20)
54.7% (783)
Away
33.3% (24)
54.3% (816)
By Period
Verhaeghe
Larkin
P1
31.8%
55.9%
P2
36.4%
56.1%
P3
45.5%
51.1%
Final 5 min
30.0%
51.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Verhaeghe
34.0%▼
40.0%
36.4%
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
54.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 6, 2025 | 2 | 01:38 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Apr 6, 2025 | 1 | 09:07 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Apr 6, 2025 | 1 | 08:40 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |