Scouting Report
Casey Cizikas holds a +10.0% FO% edge overall. Cizikas wins 53.1% vs right-shot opponents — Cozens shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cizikas 55.0% vs Cozens 46.1% (+10.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cizikas 50.7%
Defensive zone
Cizikas 91.4%
Neutral zone
Cizikas 84.7%
Result
Casey Cizikas favored at 69.4%
69.4%
30.6%
Cizikas
Cozens
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
1
(4 meetings)
3
1
Cizikas
Cozens
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Cizikas
Cozens
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cizikas
1
0
Cizikas
Cozens
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cizikas
1
0
Cizikas
Cozens
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cizikas
Cozens
Edge
Even Strength
57.8% (767)
45.6% (746)
+12.2%
Power Play
66.7% (18)
50.8% (65)
+15.9%
Penalty Kill
44.9% (176)
34.5% (29)
+10.4%
On power play, Cizikas has a +15.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cozens shoots right. Cizikas is 53.1% vs right-shot opponents (343).
Cizikas shoots left. Cozens is 45.7% vs left-shot opponents (599).
Home / Away
Cizikas
Cozens
Home
56.6% (484)
43.9% (410)
Away
54.5% (477)
47.2% (430)
By Period
Cizikas
Cozens
P1
57.2%
46.4%
P2
54.7%
41.6%
P3
54.8%
49.4%
OT
100.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
57.4%
46.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cizikas
60.0%▼
61.5%
55.6%
Cozens
48.0%▼
52.5%
45.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 23, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Apr 23, 2022 | 2 | 11:45 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Apr 23, 2022 | 1 | 02:49 | Offensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Feb 15, 2022 | 1 | 18:45 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |