Scouting Report
Casey Cizikas holds a +4.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Cizikas on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Cizikas wins 55.2% vs right-shot opponents — Cozens shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cizikas 54.4% vs Cozens 50.6% (+4.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cozens 71.1%
Defensive zone
Cizikas 59.5%
Neutral zone
Cozens 55.9%
Result
Dylan Cozens favored at 57.7%
42.3%
57.7%
Cizikas
Cozens
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
4
(8 meetings)
4
4
Cizikas
Cozens
Last 8: Cizikas 4-4 Cozens
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cozens
1
3
Cizikas
Cozens
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cizikas
3
0
Cizikas
Cozens
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cozens
0
1
Cizikas
Cozens
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cizikas
Cozens
Edge
Even Strength
56.4% (576)
51.4% (891)
+5.0%
Power Play
50.0% (2)
50.5% (184)
-0.5%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (33)
42.4% (85)
-9.1%
On penalty kill, Cozens has a +9.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cozens shoots right. Cizikas is 55.2% vs right-shot opponents (203).
Cizikas shoots left. Cozens is 49.8% vs left-shot opponents (854).
Home / Away
Cizikas
Cozens
Home
55.4% (303)
49.5% (638)
Away
54.9% (308)
51.9% (522)
By Period
Cizikas
Cozens
P1
53.0%
51.9%
P2
56.0%
46.4%
P3
56.2%
54.2%
Final 5 min
51.8%
48.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cizikas
60.0%▼
61.5%
55.2%
Cozens
48.0%▼
52.5%
50.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 23, 2024 | 3 | 13:40 | Offensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Dec 23, 2024 | 3 | 10:07 | Neutral | Dylan Cozens |
| Dec 23, 2024 | 3 | 06:47 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Dec 23, 2024 | 1 | 18:25 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Dec 23, 2024 | 1 | 18:18 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Nov 1, 2024 | 3 | 09:48 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Nov 1, 2024 | 2 | 15:23 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Nov 1, 2024 | 2 | 15:15 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |